Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000117 0.000124 0.000131 0.000140 0.000149 0.000160
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000109 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162 0.000182
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000103 0.000115 0.000130 0.000148 0.000170 0.000200
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000099 0.000113 0.000131 0.000153 0.000181 0.000221
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000097 0.000113 0.000133 0.000159 0.000195 0.000247
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000093 0.000109 0.000130 0.000159 0.000199 0.000260
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000125 0.000156 0.000198 0.000266
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000084 0.000100 0.000122 0.000154 0.000199 0.000274
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000117 0.000148 0.000194 0.000272
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000078 0.000094 0.000118 0.000151 0.000203 0.000294
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000078 0.000095 0.000119 0.000157 0.000215 0.000323
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000095 0.000121 0.000161 0.000225 0.000352
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000124 0.000168 0.000242 0.000399
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000075 0.000093 0.000122 0.000169 0.000249 0.000425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000121 0.000168 0.000253 0.000447
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000121 0.000172 0.000265 0.000492
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000123 0.000178 0.000282 0.000556
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000069 0.000088 0.000120 0.000176 0.000283 0.000576
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000116 0.000171 0.000277 0.000575
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000064 0.000083 0.000114 0.000168 0.000276 0.000585
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000161 0.000264 0.000563
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000164 0.000276 0.000620
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000111 0.000169 0.000293 0.000706